Search Results for: attribution

Extreme event attribution and the nature-culture duality

I’ve been reading a paper by Shannon Osaka and Rob Bellamy called Weather in the Anthropocene: Extreme event attribution and a modelled nature–culture divide. I’ve written about event attribution before, and I’m largely in favour of the storyline approach; given … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Environmental change, Global warming, Philosophy for Bloggers, Severe Events, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 140 Comments

Extreme weather event attribution

This is a joint post between myself and Eric Winsberg, Professor of Philosophy at the University of South Florida. Eric has just published, together with Naomi Oreskes and Elisabeth Lloyd, a paper called Severe Weather Event Attribution: Why values won’t … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Climate change, Research, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 184 Comments

The attribution question

It seems as though the issue of trying to attribute an anthropogenic influence to an extreme weather event is controversial on a number of levels. It sometimes seems to divide even those who largely agree, and almost always produces a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 113 Comments

Attribution

Given the extreme precipitation and flooding that’s been experienced in some parts of the world recently, I thought I would comment briefly on the issue of attribution. Clearly the El Niño has played an important role in these extreme weather … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 64 Comments

95%, attribution, and all that!

The latest critique of consensus studies is an attempt to re-analyse the data from Verheggen et al. (2014) to suggest that the consensus amongst climate scientists is only 47%, not 97%. I only have two things to say about this. … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Attribution

There was a truly awful article in the Telegraph a few days ago called what if man-made climate change is all in the mind. It was written by a novelist called Sean Thomas, so my initial thought was that he … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, IPCC, Satire, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

2020: A year in review

It’s been quite a year. The blog certainly hasn’t been as active as it has been in previous years. This is partly because it is simply getting more and more difficult to motivate myself to write posts, but is also … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, ClimateBall Bingo, Philosophy for Bloggers | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

A couple of highlights

Since I haven’t had much chance to write anything recently, I thought I would briefly advertise a couple of papers that may be of interest to my regular readers. One is by Clare Marie Flynn and Thorsten Mauritsen and is … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , | 19 Comments

2019: A year in review

The end of another year, so time to do another round-up of this year’s posts. My main impression of 2019, unfortunatey, is that the climate debate is moved from disagreements with people who either deny climate change or the need … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Personal, Scientists, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , | 27 Comments

Constraining unforced variability

Pages 2k has a new Nature paper called Consistent multidecadal variability in global temperature reconstructions and simulations over the Common Era. What they do is present 2,000-year-long global mean temperature reconstructions using seven different statistical methods that draw from a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Research, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 8 Comments