Author Archives: mt

J R Oppenheimer Asks: Can Science Provide Better Models for Democracy?

I came across a collection of 1950’s vintage essays by Robert Oppenheimer that’s been lurking quietly unattended in my book collection for who knows how long. Reading essays by scientifically accomplished people from long ago is always an eye-opener. Bits … Continue reading

Posted in physicists, Policy, Politics, Uncategorized | 50 Comments

On Questioning Authority

The discussion of the polysemy (multiple interpretations) of the assertion “science has always been political” has tested the mutual regard that exists between myself and “Willard”, but has not shaken it. I am pleased that we are still friends despite … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 194 Comments

Proposing A Non-Cynical Red Team Exercise

(Guest posting by Michael Tobis. Opinions expressed here are mt’s only.) Some people who dismiss the climate change issue like to call it “the CAGW hypothesis” for “Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming”. The name is quadruply irritating, inasmuch as 1) a … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 272 Comments

The Only Way Not To Lose Is to Play

In Climateball, the only way to lose is not to play. Consequently the only way not to lose is to play. Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 158 Comments

Arguing ad argumentam in an ad hominem world

I had a long enough response to Ken’s Honesty and Hypocrisy that I decided to post it as an article instead of a comment. The following all sounds far  more confident and oracular than I feel – please apply “maybe”s … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 97 Comments

The Mysterious Wildfire Chart

Yet another piece of bad news is that wildfires are on the increase in the USA. I linked to that story in a blog post about extreme severe events and climate. The article was by Deanna Conners by at earthsky.org . She … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Comments

I Know What I Know If You Know What I Mean

David Roberts had an interesting article in Vox recently which discusses the very severe limitations of the sorts of models economists typically use to study climate change (Integrated Assessment Models or IAMs). (The title of the article is awful, but … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 45 Comments

Show me slowly what I only know the limits of

Some observations on some recent quick turns around the Disaster Tango dance floor: In discussing how we should think about the most extreme severe events, I suggested that we focus on a collective look at recurrence times. This suggestion, though … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Roger Pielke Jr, Severe Events | 128 Comments

Thinking About What A Friend Had Said, I Was Hoping It Was A Lie

Clarification On How to Better Examine Evidence Relating to Rare Extreme Weather Events in a Changed Climate This was not the article I was planning on writing just next, but it appears that I must elaborate on some things I … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | 47 Comments

If I Had Ever Been Here Before I Would Probably Know Just What To Do

An argument preferring recurrence questions to attribution questions We have had a very severe weather event in South Carolina. As I write it is still an extremely serious situation. Before taking off onto the science and implications, it is worth taking … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Watts Up With That | Tagged , | 104 Comments