Author Archives: Willard

About Willard

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Wilfrid’s Bro

Posted on October 7, 2020

Sometimes people message me on teh tweeter. Here’s a chat from this summer, with a friend I will call Wilfrid. His lines start with a Capital, mine are lower case and in italic. * * * Willard help, my brother … Continue reading →

Posted in advocacy, We Are Science | Tagged , , , , | 6 Comments

The Auditing Problem

Posted on September 18, 2020

Auditing leads to an open problem. Let’s try to specify it as lightly as possible. Technical notes follow the main text, they’re tagged using curly brackets, like {this note}. §1. Alvaro’s Story Alvaro wrote a piece called What’s Wrong with … Continue reading →

Posted in Philosophy for Bloggers, Research, Science, Scientisits, Sound Science (tm), The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 27 Comments

Richard's Decoupling

Posted on March 28, 2020

Richard did it again and forgot to say “oops”: Negative feedback was to be expected. Some argue that only by decoupling can we understand Richard’s point. Facts don’t care about feelings and all that jazz. I love thought experiments. They … Continue reading →

Posted in Freedom Fighters, Philosophy for Bloggers | Tagged , , , , | 93 Comments

But RCPs

Posted on February 9, 2020

Just as I thought I was out the ClimateBall Gods pull me back in. The “but RCP” flythe club got the best of me. For the time lost I found talking points for my Bingo. More on this project in … Continue reading →

Posted in ClimateBall, ClimateBall Bingo | 194 Comments

Sherelle’s Bingo Squares

Posted on January 25, 2020

Yesterday Michael Brown alterted me (see “@nevaudit”) to this contrarian editorial: As many of you already know, I am currently developing a ClimateBall Bingo. That bingo consists of squares that I identify with a “but.” The central square is “but … Continue reading →

Posted in ClimateBall | Tagged , , , , | 78 Comments

Jens’ Bayesian Models

Posted on December 22, 2019

[W] Hello. How’s everything? [J] Things are good, thanks 🙂 Busy December, but that’s par for the course. I hope you’re well also. [W] I have the flu, but hope to survive against all odds. That’s you: https://oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/people/dr-jens-koed-madsen/ [J] Ah, … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Comments

Contrarian Models

Posted on November 12, 2019

We need better ClimateBall contrarians. Perhaps they need better contrarian role models. Let’s find them, if only for our own sake. Here are five of mine. Fred Rogers was a TV show producer, a comedian, an author, a puppeteer, a … Continue reading →

Posted in ClimateBall, Contrarian Matrix, Freedom Fighters | Tagged , , , , , | 44 Comments

The GRRRRROWTH Institute

Posted on October 18, 2019

Posit an opiniator O* from the Super Wonderful Punditry think tank SWP. Deadlines displease him. The international community failed to meet so many since 1995 that such call becomes self-defeating, or so O* worries. To interpret IPCC deliverables, time for … Continue reading →

Posted in ClimateBall, economics, GRRRRROWTH, Philosophy for Bloggers, Satire | 45 Comments

AGW in One GIF

Posted on August 30, 2019

An image is said to be worth a thousand words. A GIF encapsulates many images. This one may not cover all ClimateBall players said, but I like it: Which words would that GIF be worth? If you got another illustration … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, We Are Science | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

The Popper Ratio

Posted on August 3, 2019

I hereby propose the Popper Ratio – (n.) Unit obtained by calculating the number of “popper” in a long-form text compared to the number of times Sir Karl is really cited. By “really cited” I mean (a) a quote and … Continue reading →

Posted in Freedom Fighters, Philosophy for Bloggers, SpeedoScience, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , | 18 Comments