Category Archives: ClimateBall

Scenarios

Just before the release of the IPCC’s AR6 WGIII report (Mitigation of Climate Change) Joeri Rogelj had a Carbon Brief guest post on how not to interpret the emission scenarios in the IPCC report. It might have been to try … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Philosophy for Bloggers, Policy, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , , | 38 Comments

Techniques of climate denial

Steve Koonin, who I’ve written about before, had an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal a few months ago claiming that Greenland’s melting ice is no cause for climate-change panic. The article uses a graph of mass loss rate to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming | Tagged , , , , | 89 Comments

A couple of highlights

Since it has been a bit quiet, I thought I might highlight a couple of things the regulars might find of interest. Climate blogging in a post-truth era: Thanks to Stoat, I’ve become aware that Giorgis Zoukas finished his PhD … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Philosophy for Bloggers, Scientists | Tagged , , , , | 47 Comments

How to Do Things with Claims

A recent paper introduced the idea of contrarian claim. Expectedly, contrarians raised concerns about it. A recurring one is: what if the claims were true? This note shows how this may lead to a head fake {1}. Let’s look at … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, how-to | 21 Comments

Classification of contrarian claims about climate change

The latest controversy in the climate debate is the publication of a paper on [c]omputer-assisted classification of contrarian claims about climate change. The authors are Travis Coan, Constantine Boussalis, John Cook, and Mirjam Nanko. You may recognise John Cook as … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Philosophy for Bloggers, Research | Tagged , , , , , | 203 Comments

The Hack That Changed the World

After airing the movie, The Trick, the BBC has also broadcast a series of podcasts on Climategate called the Hack That Changed the World (H/T Dikran Marsupial). I’m not sure if all can listen to them, but I thought they … Continue reading

Posted in Anthony Watts, Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Steven McIntyre | Tagged , , , , | 122 Comments

How to Reason by Analogy

Issues echo one another. Unimaginativeness alone prevents us from connecting any two of them. It shouldn’t surprise anyone if the usual Climateball ™ suspects voice Covidball (tm pending) concerns that sound familiar. While similarities may be infinite, tropes converge. Take … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Philosophy for Bloggers | 25 Comments

The Bingo Core

A few months ago I posted a Bingo Card. Thanks to feedback, more Climateball exchanges, with contrarians, and some vacation days, a clearer image has emerged. Here is the current version (1.1): The up-to-date version will be found on the … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, ClimateBall Bingo | 37 Comments

Mind Your Units

With both sadness and joy I must report that the Sky Dragons {1} invaded Roy’s. Joy, because I’m having fun. As an editor friend observed (pers. corr.): this place looks like the perfect Thunderdome for you. She’s not wrong. To … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Pseudoscience, Roy Spencer, SpeedoScience | Tagged , | 551 Comments

Plausible emission scenarios

A paper by Roger Pielke Jr, Matthew Burgess and Justin Ritchie has been submitted that suggests that the most plausible 2005-2040 emission scenarios project less than 2.5oC of warming by 2100. It’s generated a bit of debate on social media, … Continue reading

Posted in ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Roger Pielke Jr | Tagged , , , , , | 67 Comments