Category Archives: IPCC

There was no “pause” in global warming!

There are a couple of new papers that essentially analyse the various analyses of the supposed “pause” in global warming. One, lead by James Risbey considers fluctuation[s] in surface temperature in historical context: reassessment and retrospective on the evidence. The … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Gavin Schmidt, IPCC, Policy, Research, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 291 Comments

The IPCC Special Report

I guess the big news at the moment, which is almost old news now, is the IPCC’s Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5oC. I’m not even all that sure what to say about it. It’s not presenting anything wildly … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon tax, Climate change, IPCC, Policy | Tagged , , , , | 149 Comments

Linking climate change and extreme events

There’s an article in the New Republic called the media’s failure to connext the dots on climate change. I actually came across it via a blog post by Matthew Nisbet in which he argues that [Why] The New Republic is … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Environmental change, Global warming, IPCC, physicists, Policy, Severe Events | Tagged , , , | 48 Comments

Rethinking climate policy

Roger Pielke Jr has been promoting his new paper in Issues in Science and Technology. The paper is called opening up the climate policy envelope and Roger has been suggesting that people should read it. I’ve read it a couple … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Carbon tax, IPCC, Policy, Roger Pielke Jr | Tagged , , , , | 290 Comments

low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There’s an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, IPCC, Scientists, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 276 Comments

More about Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity

It’s currently the AGU Fall Meeting and there was a session on Climate sensitivity and feedbacks. It included talks by Kate Marvel and Kyle Armour, and I noticed that the Convener, Andrew Dessler, had tweeted This leads to one of … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 34 Comments

More time …. really?

A recent paper about [e]mission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C essentially argues that it is still possible to follow an emission pathway that will give us a good chance of keeping warming below 1.5oC. More specifically, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Research, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 38 Comments