Category Archives: Severe Events

Tipping points/elements

There has been quite lot of discussion recently about climate tipping points, or tipping elements. It’s mostly motivated by a recent Nature comment suggesting that Climate tipping points [are] too risky to bet against. The suggestion is that some the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Philosophy for Bloggers, Policy, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 249 Comments

Societal tipping points

Noami Oreskes and Nicholas Stern have a New York Times Opinion piece called Climate Change will cost us even more than we think. Some are very critical, others are a little more circumspect. I, on the other hand, think that … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, economics, Global warming, Policy, Politics, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , | 172 Comments

High emission scenarios

I thought I might briefly reflect, again, on the whole RCP8.5 discussion. In case anyone missed it, there has been a lengthy online discussion about RCP8.5, which is a concentration/forcing pathway that leads to a change in forcing of 8.5 … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , | 133 Comments

The benefits of acting now, rather than later

This is a post that I’ve been thinking about for a while, but have been somewhat reluctant to actually write. This is partly because maybe I’m wrong, partly because it is clearly going to be a bit too simplistic, and … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon tax, Climate change, Environmental change, ethics, Policy, Science, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , | 175 Comments

Hurricanes and carbon cuts

I was wanting to quickly comment on a recent Bjorn Lomborg article in the New York Post called No, global warming isn’t causing worse hurricanes. It’s mainly a response to another article in the New York Post called Climate change … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Policy, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 29 Comments

Linking climate change and extreme events

There’s an article in the New Republic called the media’s failure to connext the dots on climate change. I actually came across it via a blog post by Matthew Nisbet in which he argues that [Why] The New Republic is … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Environmental change, Global warming, IPCC, physicists, Policy, Severe Events | Tagged , , , | 48 Comments

low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There’s an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, IPCC, Scientists, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 277 Comments