Category Archives: Severe Events

low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There’s an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, IPCC, Scientists, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 276 Comments

Extreme events and anthropogenic emissions

This is a post that I’ve been thinking of writing, but have been somewhat reluctant to start. It’s mostly because it relates to something said by Roger Pielke Jr, so could end up being a bit of same ‘ol same … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Roger Pielke Jr, Severe Events | Tagged , , , | 102 Comments

It’s complicated, and it’s coupled

Matt Ridley, whose writings I’ve discussed before, has a new article in The Times called we are more than a match for hurricanes, that essentially argues that [w]hether or not tropical storms are becoming fiercer, our growing wealth and ingenuity … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Policy, Severe Events, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 192 Comments

Heatwaves

I’ve been away for a week (more about this later, maybe), so haven’t had a chance to post anything. It has been a fairly warm week here in the UK, so it’s seem worth mentioning a recent paper about the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Science, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , | 211 Comments

We might not be certain, but…..

Bret Stephens, the newly appointed Op-Ed writer for the New York Times, has released his first column to much criticism. It’s a rather strawman-laden column in which he essentially argues that it’s okay to doubt climate science, and/or climate policy, … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Science, Severe Events, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 144 Comments

Maybe we really are screwed

I may regret writing this post, but here goes anyway. Although some probably disagree, and I don’t always succeed, I do try to maintain a sense of scientific credibility; include caveats, acknowledge uncertainty, recognise that we really can’t “know” anything, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Policy, Science, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , | 286 Comments

2015 blog summary

I realise that I’ve already written a review of 2015, but partly as a result of Willard’s comments, and partly as a result of Stoat’s post, I realised that I hadn’t really summarised the blog activity. So, here it is; … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Personal, Science, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments