Tag Archives: 97% consensus

Consensus messaging, an update

Posted on January 14, 2020 by ...and Then There's Physics

If you’re a regular follower of this blog, you’ll know that some of the most active threads have concerned the scientific consensus about climate change and, more specifically, the issue of consensus messaging. Recently, a new book has been released … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Philosophy for Bloggers, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 315 Comments

TBH, I don’t really like consensus messaging either

Posted on July 30, 2017 by ...and Then There's Physics

Originally posted on …and Then There's Physics:
I might have to give Dan Kahan some credit. Even though I’m not convinced that consensus messaging is toxic and polarising in general, there are certainly circumstances in which it can be,…

Posted in advocacy, ClimateBall, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments

97% vs 99.99%

Posted on May 3, 2017 by ...and Then There's Physics

We’ve just had another consensus paper published. The paper is called Does It Matter if the Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming Is 97% or 99.99%? (pre-print here). The lead author is Andy Skuce, who has a nice post about it. … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Research, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 80 Comments

Consensus enforcers

Posted on August 30, 2016 by ...and Then There's Physics

I’ve been engaging in some discussions over at cliscep (yes, yes, I know). It included Ben Pile, who seems to think that the phrase is play the man, not the ball. Ben’s mantra appears to be that there is a … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , | 97 Comments

Consensus messaging

Posted on February 12, 2016 by ...and Then There's Physics

I haven’t paid much attention to Dan Kahan’s work, but recently noticed a post on his blog about the *public consensus* on what climate scientists think about human-caused global warming. The basic premise seems to be that although your political … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 321 Comments

Matt Ridley: Lukewarmer

Posted on January 19, 2015 by ...and Then There's Physics

Matt Ridley has a quite remarkable article in the Times called My life as a Lukewarmer (extensive exerts here). I’ve written about Lukewarmers before, but I had not realised – until I read Matt Ridley’s article – how difficult things … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , | 633 Comments

Watt about Monckton and the 97%?

Posted on September 10, 2013 by ...and Then There's Physics

I must admit that the continual attack on the Cook et al. (2013) Consensus paper is all getting a little tedious. I would have thought that people might have moved on by now. Maybe one could aim the same criticism … Continue reading →

Posted in Anthony Watts, Christopher Monckton, Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Watts Up With That | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 121 Comments

Watt about the 97% consensus, again?

Posted on August 28, 2013 by ...and Then There's Physics

Watts Up With That (WUWT) has another post about John Cook’s consensus paper. I must admit that I find this all a little odd. In my experience, if people think a paper is ridiculously wrong, they typically just ignore it. … Continue reading →

Posted in Anthony Watts, Climate change, Global warming, Watts Up With That | Tagged , , , , , , , | 140 Comments

Richard Tol and the 97% consensus

Posted on July 26, 2013 by ...and Then There's Physics

I said in my earlier post that I might write about Richard Tol’s publicly stated views on John Cook’s 97% consensus paper. Since then, however, I’ve had a rather frustrating Twitter discussion with Richard Tol that, sadly, ended quite sourly … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 242 Comments

Richard Tol’s fourth draft

Posted on June 10, 2013 by ...and Then There's Physics

So, Richard Tol has a fourth draft of his climate consensus paper. I don’t really want to say too much more about this as I’ve discussed his draft paper before (here and here). My basic view hasn’t really changed. Richard … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , | 377 Comments