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Rachel Squirrel- Is this a scene from a horror film? September 16, 2017
- Rabett Run
- HotWhopper
- Andy Skuce - you will be sorely missed September 19, 2017
- Variable Variability
- Angela Merkel wins German election September 18, 2017
- RealClimate
- Stoat
- We need to make democracy work in the fight to save the planet? September 19, 2017
- Open Mind
- Hurricane Harvey Hurts Texas August 29, 2017
- Climate denial crock of the week
- How Climate Change can Make Hurricanes Explode September 20, 2017
- robertscribbler
- Catastrophic Category 5 Maria Strengthens as it Tracks Toward Puerto Rico September 19, 2017
- Moyhu
- GISS August up 0.01°C from July. September 18, 2017
- uknowispeaksense
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- Real Sceptic
- Why We Became Scientists: Dunderhead April 1, 2017
- Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology
- Pattern obfuscation of ocean pH September 17, 2017
- James’s Empty Blog
- Make our Planet Great Again September 19, 2017
- Isaac Held’s Blog
- 73. Tuning to the global mean temperature record November 28, 2016
- More than just data
- ICON Course 2017 August 14, 2017
- Mallemaroking
- Maud Rise Polynya to 17 Sept 2017 September 19, 2017
Tag Archives: attribution
The attribution question
It seems as though the issue of trying to attribute an anthropogenic influence to an extreme weather event is controversial on a number of levels. It sometimes seems to divide even those who largely agree, and almost always produces a … Continue reading
Attribution
Given the extreme precipitation and flooding that’s been experienced in some parts of the world recently, I thought I would comment briefly on the issue of attribution. Clearly the El Niño has played an important role in these extreme weather … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, ENSO, Global warming, Science
Tagged attribution, Climate change, El Niño, Extreme events, Extreme precipitation, Flooding
64 Comments
If I Had Ever Been Here Before I Would Probably Know Just What To Do
An argument preferring recurrence questions to attribution questions We have had a very severe weather event in South Carolina. As I write it is still an extremely serious situation. Before taking off onto the science and implications, it is worth taking … Continue reading
“very likely” versus “extremely likely”
In IPCC land “very likely” means 90% – 100% probability, while extremely likely means 95% – 100% probability. In light of that, I was wondering if anyone had any insights as to why, in Chapter 10 of the IPCC’s WGI … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Science
Tagged Anthropogenic influences, attribution, Fabius Maximus, GHGs, IPCC
21 Comments
Climate change by numbers
I watched the much-hyped BBC4 show climate change by numbers and thought it was pretty good. It covered 3 basic numbers; why we think global surface temperatures have risen by 0.85oC since 1880, why we’re 95% (or more) sure that … Continue reading
“More than half” is the same as “> 50%”!
A while ago Judith Curry wrote a rather confusing post about the IPCC’s attribution statement (that more than 50% of the warming since 1950 was anthropogenic). Gavin Schmidt responded on RealClimate, and Judith Curry has been promising to respond to … Continue reading
