Tag Archives: Climate model

A little domain knowledge can go a long way

A rather bizarre paper has been published in Scientific Reports (yes, that Scientific Reports) claiming that [an] earth system model shows self-sustained melting of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020. One immediate problem is that the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, The philosophy of science, The scientific method, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 24 Comments

The designers of our climate

Okay, I finally succumbed and actually waded through some of the new paper by Monckton, Soon, Legates & Briggs called Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model. I did it, so you don’t have to (and … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Comedy, Satire | Tagged , , , , , , | 403 Comments

Another good TED talk about climate models

Just came across what seems to be an excellent TEDx talk, by Steve Easterbrook, about climate models. One take away message seems to be that climate models are less buggy than virtually all commercially available software, and they’re almost as … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

A two-box model

In an attempt to learn something about climate modelling, I decided to write a little two-box climate model. I found quite a lot of useful information on Tamino’s blog, Arthur Smith’s blog, Isaac Held’s blog, Lucia’s blackboard and from Kevin … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 50 Comments

The BBC and its balance!

I happened to have a look at the Bishop Hill Blog and discovered that Andrew Montford (who writes the blog) was interviewed, together with Paul Williams from the University of Reading, on BBC Radio 5 Live’s Stephen Nolan show. If … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Comedy, Global warming, Judith Curry, Satire, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 900 Comments

Climate models

I came across this video (possibly from a tweet by Chris Colose) that describes climate models. I thought it was quite good, but I’m not a climate modeller so maybe others would disagree. The one thing I thought it did … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 42 Comments

Over-reaction?

There was a fun press release from the University of Bristol about using a Global Circulation Model (GCM) to study the climate of Tolkien’s Middle Earth. A number of people on Twitter (Richard Betts, Gavin Schmidt, Doug MacNeall) seemed to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Comedy, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 41 Comments

A lower climate sensitivity from Ring et al.

I was wondering if anyone had any particular insights into the Ring et al. (2012) paper Causes of the Global Warming Observed since the 19th Century? The study use a simple climate model (SCM) to model the change in global … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 13 Comments

Empirical models and decadal forecasts

I noticed Anthony Watts and Judith Curry getting quite excited by a new paper from Emma Suckling and Leonard Smith called An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models. The paper was basically a comparison of an ensemble … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 16 Comments

A crisis in climate science?

Reiner Grundmann has a post on Die Klimazwiebel called the coming crisis of climate science? I don’t really know what to make of the post overall. As far as I’m aware, Reiner Grundmann is a sociologist/political scientists who has an … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC | Tagged , , , , , , , | 16 Comments