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Rachel Squirrel- Rabett Run
- Gasoline consumption, California and USA
- Sea level rise came first for the Vikings, now it's coming for you
- What do physicists want?
- Look Who's Fighting Ocean Acidification
- The My Pillowfication of Twitter
- Posturing
- More Hydrogen Less Methane about the Same HO
- Empathy and denialism
- Give a Man a Solar Lamp
- Eli Rabett's Simple Plan to Relieve the Burdens of Student Loans
- HotWhopper
- The last 10 years are the hottest ever, yet deniers are still in denial
- Victor Venema, climate scientist, valued friend to many
- Email went down, now it's back
- We've got to get serious about climate, we've wasted too much time
- Alert for HotWhopper email subscribers to resubscribe
- Beware of internal conflicts, rivalries and toxic behaviour polluting climate action
- Where to from here?
- Everything climate disinformation from the climate conspiracy-theorists at WattsUpWithThat
- Rating climate science deniers to decide how/if to engage
- Greetings of the season, happy hols, stay safe
- Variable Variability
- One more reason I dislike linking climate change and extinction
- The 10th anniversary of the still unpublished Watts et al. (2012) manuscript
- New German Sovereign Tech Fund will fund open source digital infrastructure to avert the next log4j
- We launched a new group to promote the translation of the scientific literature
- The confusing politics behind John Stossel asking Are We Doomed?
- Antigen rapid tests much less effective for screening than previously thought according to top German virologist Drosten
- New paper: Spanish and German climatologists on how to remove errors from observed climate trends
- Yes, it makes sense not to have diner parties while the schools are still open. Think of it as a Corona contact budget.
- Science Feedback on Steroids
- The deleted chapter of the WMO Guidance on the homogenisation of climate station data
- RealClimate
- Evaluation of GCM simulations with a regional focus.
- CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling
- Unforced variations: May 2023
- A NOAA-STAR dataset is born…
- The summary for policymakers of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change sixth assessment reports synthesis
- Unforced Variations: Apr 2023
- Some new CMIP6 MSU comparisons
- How not to science
- Unforced variations: March 2023
- The established ground and new ideas
- Open Mind
- Climate denial crock of the week
- Manchin’s Pipeline: Did We Save the Economy and Kill the Climate?
- Will This Year’s El Nino be As Intense as 2015, 1998? Does it Matter?
- Will Clearer Skies Mean Runaway Warming?
- Retreat from Reason, Science, is Global
- State Farm: Climate, Inflation, Regs, Squeezing Insurers in California
- “What is Going On?” Physics Freaks a MAGA
- “Expect Chaos”: Hurricane Season Could a Different Breed
- How Wind Became Woke
- Georgia Nuclear Plant a Step Closer to Operation
- Music Break: Diana Krall, Sara McLachlan – If You Could Read My Mind
- robertscribbler
- OBX Wave Report May 31 — Stormy With a Slight Chance of Cyclone
- OBX Wave Report May 30 — Fun and Frothy
- OBX Wave Report May 29 — Memorial Day Surfing at Shell Island
- OBX Wave Report May 28 — Calmer Conditions
- OBX Wave Report May 27 — Powerful Gale Buffets Wrightsville Beach
- The OBX Wave Report May 26 — A Gale Force Friday For Future
- OBX Wave Report May 25 — Coastal Storm Begins To Gather Strength
- OBX Wave Report May 24 — Big and Stormy
- OBX Wave Report May 23 — 4-7 Foot and A Coastal Storm Incoming
- Starting to Work The Flow
- Moyhu
- GISS April global temperature down by 0.2°C from March.
- April global surface TempLS down 0.158°C from March.
- Hourly modelling of conversion of USA48 to wind/solar, with costing and optimisation - Updated.
- GISS March global temperature up by 0.23°C from February.
- March global surface TempLS up 0.229°C from February.
- CFACT says Net Zero is impossible? Debunked.
- GISS February global temperature up by 0.11°C from January.
- February global surface TempLS up 0.093°C from January.
- GISS January global temperature up by 0.06°C from December.
- January global surface TempLS up 0.014°C from December.
- Real Sceptic
- Choosing Alternative Medicine To Treat Cancer Is Deadly
- Why We Became Scientists: Dunderhead
- AGU Fall Meeting Day 1 – Education And Science Outreach
- San Francisco Meet Up & AGU Fall Meeting
- The Big Pharma Cancer Conspiracy
- Activity Trackers Aren’t A Weight Loss Miracle Cure
- Brexit: Emotions Trumped Facts During UK’s Referendum
- Devastating Reply To Richard Tol’s Nonsensus In Peer-Reviewed Journal
- How to hide most of China’s coal consumption
- Willie Soon’s Deliverables
- Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology
- Resampling Assemblage Counts
- A demo targets plan for reproducible pipelines for Neotoma data
- Reproducibility of high resolution reconstruction – one year on
- Simplistic and Dangerous Models
- COVID-19, climate and the plague of preprints
- Erroneous information … was given
- Making a pollen diagram from Neotoma
- Count sums – the preprint
- Count-less chironomids?
- Tools for a reproducible manuscript
- James’s Empty Blog
- More than just data
- EGU 2022: Back in person
- vEGU2021: A “zoom” into science
- Digital conferences – how might they work?
- EGU 2020: A “chatty” conference
- Post-processing paper background: Do we need new approaches in verification?
- Post-processing paper background: EMD and IQD? What is it about?
- Post-processing paper background: Why do we need verification with uncertain observations?
- Post-processing paper background: Why does sub-sampling work?
- Post-processing paper background: What is sub-sampling?
- Background to “Seasonal statistical-dynamical prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation by probabilistic post-processing and its evaluation”
- Mallemaroking
- A comment piece on the SROCC
- Hudson Bay is breaking up early
- A trillion tonnes of ice on the move: Iceberg A68A
- Venta Maersk and the Northern Sea Route
- North Water Polynya in Nares Strait is opening
- Iceberg A38 at South Georgia in 2004
- Iceberg A68: You can’t always get what you want
- The Weddell Polynya to 23 November 2017
- Antarctic sea ice November 2017
- Rydberg Peninsula polynya October 2017
- Symptons of the Universe
- Quantum Mechanics and Mystics: Who Wooed Whom?
- PhD opening in Nottingham Nanoscience Group: AI & Atoms
- AI vs A-level
- Music by Ch@ – the artist formerly known as Chat GPT
- ChatGPT: Transforming Physics Education?
- Shut Up And Calculate
- When is a bird not a bird? When it’s a brand
- Postdoctoral research position available in Nottingham Nanoscience Group
- Sixty six and six months on, Maiden still a revelation
- On behalf of the Base-10 4 #10 Party…
Tag Archives: Climate models
Escape from model land
I listened to an interesting podcast that some of the regulars may find interesting. It was on the Volts podcast and was on the abuse (and proper use) of climate models. It is an interview with Erica Thompson, who has … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Research, The philosophy of science, The scientific method
Tagged Climate models, David Roberts, Erica Thompson, Models, Volts
25 Comments
Different perspectives
I’ve been reflecting a little on some of the recent discussions I’ve had, mostly on Twitter, with those who have more expertise in emission scenarios, and energy systems, than in physical climate science specifically. I’ve found it a somewhat frustrating … Continue reading
Propagation of nonsense – part II
I thought I would look again at Pat Frank’s paper that we discussed in the previous post. Essentially Pat Frank argues that the surface temperature evolution under a change in forcing can be described as where is an enhancement factor … Continue reading
Sigh
There’s been a rather contentious Twitter thread about RCP8.5, a concentration/forcing pathway I’ve discussed before. It started with a claim that it was “bollox” followed by a suggestion that it was mainly used for generating headlines, scaring gullible folk and … Continue reading
Models are failed hypotheses!
John Christy has written a report for the Global Warming Policy Foundation called climate models have been predicting too much warming. The basic conclusion of the report is that climate models predict far more warming in the tropical troposphere than … Continue reading
The Hawkmoth Effect
I’ve been down to the University of Warwick to give a seminar, and was reading Eric Winsberg’s book on the train. Eric was interviewed by Willard for the previous post and his book is about Philosophy and Climate Science. I’m … Continue reading
10% of GDP?
The latest National Climate Assessment has just been released (National here means the USA, if you want the UK Climate Projections you can get them here). It’s already proved somewhat controversial, mainly because of a headline figure that following a … Continue reading
Posted in Carbon tax, Climate change, economics, Policy, Science
Tagged 10%, Climate economics, Climate models, Hsiang et al., National Climate Assessment, NCA
71 Comments
Climate impacts
Carbon brief has a very nice interactive report that show the impacts of climate change at 1.5C, 2C and beyond. It presents the various projected climatic, ecological, and economic changes on both global and regional scales. It is an impressive … Continue reading
Guest post: A ‘new’ measurement of climate sensitivity?
This is a guest post by Mark Richardson, who is currently a Caltech Postdoctoral Scholar at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Mark has a particular interest in the role of clouds in climate change. This post is a response to … Continue reading
Greater future global warming?
Before I go out I wanted to briefly mention a recent paper by Patrick Brown and Ken Caldeira called [g]reater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget. Patrick Brown already has a nice blog post about this with … Continue reading
...and Then There's Physics 