Tag Archives: Climate models

Different perspectives

Posted on December 7, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

I’ve been reflecting a little on some of the recent discussions I’ve had, mostly on Twitter, with those who have more expertise in emission scenarios, and energy systems, than in physical climate science specifically. I’ve found it a somewhat frustrating … Continue reading →

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Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Philosophy for Bloggers, Policy, Scientists, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , , , | 147 Comments

Propagation of nonsense – part II

Posted on September 10, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

I thought I would look again at Pat Frank’s paper that we discussed in the previous post. Essentially Pat Frank argues that the surface temperature evolution under a change in forcing can be described as where is an enhancement factor … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, physicists, Research, Satire, Scientists | Tagged , , , , | 123 Comments

Sigh

Posted on August 11, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

There’s been a rather contentious Twitter thread about RCP8.5, a concentration/forcing pathway I’ve discussed before. It started with a claim that it was “bollox” followed by a suggestion that it was mainly used for generating headlines, scaring gullible folk and … Continue reading →

Posted in Carbon tax, ClimateBall, Policy, Scientists, Sound Science (tm) | Tagged , , , , , , | 101 Comments

Models are failed hypotheses!

Posted on May 25, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

John Christy has written a report for the Global Warming Policy Foundation called climate models have been predicting too much warming. The basic conclusion of the report is that climate models predict far more warming in the tropical troposphere than … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Greenhouse effect | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 61 Comments

The Hawkmoth Effect

Posted on January 31, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

I’ve been down to the University of Warwick to give a seminar, and was reading Eric Winsberg’s book on the train. Eric was interviewed by Willard for the previous post and his book is about Philosophy and Climate Science. I’m … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Research, Sound Science (tm), The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 210 Comments

10% of GDP?

Posted on November 28, 2018 by ...and Then There's Physics

The latest National Climate Assessment has just been released (National here means the USA, if you want the UK Climate Projections you can get them here). It’s already proved somewhat controversial, mainly because of a headline figure that following a … Continue reading →

Posted in Carbon tax, Climate change, economics, Policy, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 71 Comments

Climate impacts

Posted on October 7, 2018 by ...and Then There's Physics

Carbon brief has a very nice interactive report that show the impacts of climate change at 1.5C, 2C and beyond. It presents the various projected climatic, ecological, and economic changes on both global and regional scales. It is an impressive … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, economics, Environmental change, Science, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 60 Comments

Guest post: A ‘new’ measurement of climate sensitivity?

Posted on January 17, 2018 by ...and Then There's Physics

This is a guest post by Mark Richardson, who is currently a Caltech Postdoctoral Scholar at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Mark has a particular interest in the role of clouds in climate change. This post is a response to … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, The scientific method | Tagged , , , | 150 Comments

Greater future global warming?

Posted on December 8, 2017 by ...and Then There's Physics

Before I go out I wanted to briefly mention a recent paper by Patrick Brown and Ken Caldeira called [g]reater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget. Patrick Brown already has a nice blog post about this with … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 71 Comments

Watt about breaking the ‘pal review’ glass ceiling

Posted on October 23, 2017 by ...and Then There's Physics

Pat Frank has a guest post on WUWT about breaking the ‘pal review’ glass ceiling in climate modeling. It’s essentially about a paper of his that he has been trying to get published and that has now been rejected 6 … Continue reading →

Posted in Anthony Watts, Climate change, ClimateBall, Gavin Schmidt, Research, Watts Up With That | Tagged , , , , , | 86 Comments