Tag Archives: ENSO

John McLean, PhD?

A recent PhD thesis from James Cook University has been receiving a reasonable amount of attention on sites that either dispute anthropogenic global warming (AGW), or its significance (I won’t link to them, but you can probably find them if … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Pseudoscience, Satire, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 110 Comments

Volcanoes and ENSO

One known issue with climate models is that they tend to suggest a larger response to a volcanic eruption than is observed. A recent paper by Lehner et al. shows that all large eruptions since 1951 coincided with El Niño … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 16 Comments

A minimal model for climate sensitivity

I’ve written a number of times about energy balance models. I think these are nice ways to estimate effective climate sensitivity (both transient and equilibrium) but they are quite simple and do suffer from some issues. For example, they are … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 76 Comments

A possible “told you so” moment?

There is increasing evidence to suggest that we may see an extreme El Niño event later this year, which could make 2015 the hottest year on record. Given that surface warming has slowed and we continue to accrue energy, most … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Judith Curry | Tagged , , , , , | 178 Comments

A two-box model

In an attempt to learn something about climate modelling, I decided to write a little two-box climate model. I found quite a lot of useful information on Tamino’s blog, Arthur Smith’s blog, Isaac Held’s blog, Lucia’s blackboard and from Kevin … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 50 Comments

The “pause” that isn’t

There’s a good article in the Guardian today but Graham Readfearn, called the ‘pause’ in global warming is not even a thing. I certainly agree with the premise of the article; there’s no real evidence that anything has paused. Surface … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 121 Comments

Watt about Bob and William

Although I’ve somewhat changed the focus of this blog, there is a post over at Watts Up With That (WUWT) that has made me decide to have another Watt about … post. It’s a post by Bob Tisdale and is … Continue reading

Posted in Anthony Watts, Bob Tisdale, Climate change, ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 90 Comments