Tag Archives: James Annan

Initial value problem vs boundary value problem

I haven’t actually looked at Judith Curry’s blog for a while, but popped across there and noticed a guest post about energy budgets, climate system domains, and internal variability. One reason why we think that we can actually do long-term … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 388 Comments

More about Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity

It’s currently the AGU Fall Meeting and there was a session on Climate sensitivity and feedbacks. It included talks by Kate Marvel and Kyle Armour, and I noticed that the Convener, Andrew Dessler, had tweeted This leads to one of … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 34 Comments

Prior knowledge

Something I have been bothered about for some time now, is how we best discuss climate change in the context of extreme events. Given the devastation from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, damaging floods in South Asia and Nigeria, and the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Michael Mann, Research, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Climate model tuning

I wrote a post about model tuning that discussed a paper that argued for more transparency in how climate models are tuned. Gavin Schmidt, and colleagues, have now published a paper that discusses the Practice and philosophy of climate model … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Gavin Schmidt, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 62 Comments

Poor Roger!

I wrote a post about Roger Pielke Jr’s recent Wall Street Journal article about his [u]nhappy life as a climate heretic, but it was rather long and rambling, so I can’t actually bring myself to post it. Instead, I’ll just … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Research, Roger Pielke Jr, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 162 Comments

Non-linear climate sensitivity

Rather strangely, the recent Science Advances paper Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming, that’s been getting some attention recently, made it into our Journal Club today (and it had nothing to do with me). It’s, consequently, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall | Tagged , , , , | 131 Comments

Bayesian estimates of climate sensitivity

Thanks to Bill Shockley I’ve been made aware of new paper by James Annan about recent developments in Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity. It covers many things I’ve been wondering about, so I found it very interesting. I don’t need … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 369 Comments