Tag Archives: Julia Hargreaves

Physically plausible?

In my post about Nic Lewis’s latest estimates, I suggested that if his prior produces a posterior distribution that indicates that the ECS is more likely less than 2oC, than above 2oC, maybe he should consider a more physically motivated … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 78 Comments

Nic Lewis’s prior beliefs

Nic Lewis has apparently had a paper published in the Journal of Climate, called Objective Inference for Climate Parameters: Bayesian, Transformation of Variables and Profile Likelihood Approaches. Nic discusses his new paper in a Climate Audit blogpost called Paper justifying … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 130 Comments

Can we trust climate models?

I got into another slightly silly discussion yesterday about climate models, which I tried to resolve by directing the other person to a new paper by Julia Hargreaves and James Annan called Can we trust climate models?. This is a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 146 Comments