Tag Archives: Michael Tobis

low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There’s an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, IPCC, Scientists, Severe Events | Tagged , , , , , , | 146 Comments

2017: A year in review

I’ve now been writing this blog for almost 5 years and I still don’t quite know what I’m trying to achieve, if anything. Hopefully a blog that presents a reasonable representation of our current understanding of climate science, while also … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Personal, physicists, Pseudoscience, Roger Pielke Jr | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 30 Comments

Economics and Values

Michael Tobis has a post in which he argues that what we are doing to the climate will persist for many generations and, consequently, that it is immoral to continue what were’e doing and that we should address this as … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Climate change, economics, ethics, Research | Tagged , , , , , | 172 Comments

Prior knowledge

Something I have been bothered about for some time now, is how we best discuss climate change in the context of extreme events. Given the devastation from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, damaging floods in South Asia and Nigeria, and the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Michael Mann, Research, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Scientists are not salespeople!

Gavin Schmidt posted a bunch of tweets in response to a post by Scott Adams (of Dilbert fame) in which he claims to illustrate how climate scientists can persuade skeptics. If you want to read Gavin’s tweets, Greg Laden has … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Research, Science, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , | 51 Comments

They’re coming for climate scientists!

Doug McNeall had a bit of a tweet-storm yesterday about some personal thoughts on communicating climate science, which he titled So, they’re coming for climate scientists (hence, my title). It caused some discussion on Twitter, and on another blog, to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Science, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , , | 40 Comments

Science on the verge?

Michael Tobis has posted a recent article about who decides what is true? He addresses an interesting issue; when you work within a discipline, you typically know what is regarded as credible and what isn’t. Explaining this to those on … Continue reading

Posted in Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , , | 135 Comments