Tag Archives: Nic Lewis

Reconciling climate sensitivity estimates – part III, or IV?

I mentioned in a recent post that there was a new paper that claims to reconciles climate sensitivity estimates. The basic issue is that observationally-based climate sensitivity estimates have a range of about 1.5oC to about 3oC, while climate model … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Research, Science, The philosophy of science | Tagged , , , , , | 90 Comments

Reconciling ECS estimates – again

I’m heading home after giving a public talk, and have a bit of time to write about the recent Armour paper Projection and Prediction: Climate Sensitivity on the rise. It’s basically another attempt to reconcile energy balance estimates for climate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 115 Comments

Matt Ridley responds to Tim Palmer

I came across a response, by Matt Ridley, to Tim Palmer’s talk. I’ve posted Matt Ridley’s response below. One interesting aspect of his response is that it is written as if he is someone with the expertise to actually debate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 52 Comments

Prospects for narrowing ECS bounds

I was just going to briefly mention a new paper by Stevens, Sherwood, Bony and Webb in which they present [p]rospects for narrowing bounds on Earth’s equilibrium climate sensitivity. The basic argument is similar to what has – at times … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 64 Comments

The uncertainty on the mean

I wrote a quick post about Gavin Schmidt’s post comparing models to the satellite datasets. I thought Gavin’s post was very good, and explained the various issues really well. Steve McIntyre, however, is claiming that Schmidt’s histogram doesn’t refute Christy. … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Gavin Schmidt, Global warming, Science, Steven McIntyre | Tagged , , , , , | 270 Comments

Airborne fraction

Given the recent news that the rise in CO2 has greened the planet, I can see a new “skeptic” meme appearing. Essentially, I can see them arguing that both climate sensitivity is too high, and that nature will take up … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , | 37 Comments

The TCR-to-ECS ratio

Something I’ve been interested in is whether or not the ratio between the Transient Climate Response (TCR) and the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) best estimates from most of Nic Lewis’s work makes sense. Typically his TCR best estimate is around … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 76 Comments