Tag Archives: Ocean heat content

An attempt to do a Bayesian estimate of climate sensitivity

Update (02/04/2019): I’ve updated this in a new post. The updated result suggests a slightly lower climate sensitivity and a narrower range. The main difference is – I think – how I was handling the forcing uncertainty. In this post, … Continue reading

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New ocean heat content analysis

Update: (26/09/2019) This paper has now been retracted. The authors says Shortly after publication, arising from comments from Nicholas Lewis, we realized that our reported uncertainties were underestimated owing to our treatment of certain systematic errors as random errors. In … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Policy, Research | Tagged , , , , , , | 183 Comments

Assessing global warming

A couple of years ago I wrote a joint post with Roger Pielke Sr that discussed assessing anthropogenic global warming. The post basically used changes in ocean heat content to assess anthropogenic global warming. The basic idea (which is not … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 69 Comments

Full-depth OHC

Since my holiday is now over, I thought I might briefly comment on a recent paper by Cheng et al., called Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat-content changes for 1970–2005. John Abraham, one of the authors, has already discussed it … Continue reading

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World’s oceans

I’m travelling today, so have a bit of time to briefly comment on this recent paper by Glecker et al. which suggests that Industrial-era global ocean heat uptake doubles in recent decades. One of the key results – shown in … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 38 Comments

Assessing anthropogenic global warming

This post is really a joint post, written by myself and by Roger Pielke Sr. It’s partly a continuation of a post Roger wrote on Judith Curry’s blog, and partly a consequence of my attempt to answer one of Roger’s … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 181 Comments

The Oceans can save us!

Although I don’t really feel like explicitly debunking what I see on some “skeptic” sites (Sou does enough for all of us 🙂 ) I do sometimes, to my eternal regret, read them. I recently came across a standard argument … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 77 Comments