Tag Archives: Ocean heat content

An attempt to do a Bayesian estimate of climate sensitivity

Posted on March 25, 2019 by ...and Then There's Physics

Update (02/04/2019): I’ve updated this in a new post. The updated result suggests a slightly lower climate sensitivity and a narrower range. The main difference is – I think – how I was handling the forcing uncertainty. In this post, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Research | Tagged , , , , , , , | 50 Comments

New ocean heat content analysis

Posted on November 3, 2018 by ...and Then There's Physics

Update: (26/09/2019) This paper has now been retracted. The authors says Shortly after publication, arising from comments from Nicholas Lewis, we realized that our reported uncertainties were underestimated owing to our treatment of certain systematic errors as random errors. In … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Policy, Research | Tagged , , , , , , | 183 Comments

Assessing global warming

Posted on September 23, 2017 by ...and Then There's Physics

A couple of years ago I wrote a joint post with Roger Pielke Sr that discussed assessing anthropogenic global warming. The post basically used changes in ocean heat content to assess anthropogenic global warming. The basic idea (which is not … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 69 Comments

Full-depth OHC

Posted on July 28, 2016 by ...and Then There's Physics

Since my holiday is now over, I thought I might briefly comment on a recent paper by Cheng et al., called Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat-content changes for 1970–2005. John Abraham, one of the authors, has already discussed it … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 39 Comments

World’s oceans

Posted on January 19, 2016 by ...and Then There's Physics

I’m travelling today, so have a bit of time to briefly comment on this recent paper by Glecker et al. which suggests that Industrial-era global ocean heat uptake doubles in recent decades. One of the key results – shown in … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 38 Comments

Assessing anthropogenic global warming

Posted on June 22, 2015 by ...and Then There's Physics

This post is really a joint post, written by myself and by Roger Pielke Sr. It’s partly a continuation of a post Roger wrote on Judith Curry’s blog, and partly a consequence of my attempt to answer one of Roger’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 181 Comments

The Oceans can save us!

Posted on December 1, 2014 by ...and Then There's Physics

Although I don’t really feel like explicitly debunking what I see on some “skeptic” sites (Sou does enough for all of us 🙂 ) I do sometimes, to my eternal regret, read them. I recently came across a standard argument … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 77 Comments

An OHC update

Posted on October 6, 2014 by ...and Then There's Physics

I thought I might briefly mention the recent paper on Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming, by Durack et al. (2014). The relevant result is stated in the abstract, which says Using satellite altimetry observations and a large suite of … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Gavin Schmidt, Global warming, IPCC, Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 48 Comments

We’ve all forgotten about the oceans!

Posted on May 7, 2014 by ...and Then There's Physics

I recently wrote a blog post about Roger Pielke Sr’s guest post on Climate etc. in which he was suggesting an alternative metric to assess global warming. Roger was essentially suggesting that we should be using the ocean heat content … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, ENSO, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Assessing global warming

Posted on May 1, 2014 by ...and Then There's Physics

I haven’t really tackled anything specifically physicsy for a while so I thought I might comment on a recent post on Judith Curry’s blog that was pointed out to me by Very Tall Guy. It’s a guest post by Roger … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ENSO, Global warming, Judith Curry | Tagged , , , , , , | 64 Comments