Tag Archives: TCR

Non-linear climate sensitivity

Rather strangely, the recent Science Advances paper Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming, that’s been getting some attention recently, made it into our Journal Club today (and it had nothing to do with me). It’s, consequently, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall | Tagged , , , , | 131 Comments

Full-depth OHC

Since my holiday is now over, I thought I might briefly comment on a recent paper by Cheng et al., called Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat-content changes for 1970–2005. John Abraham, one of the authors, has already discussed it … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 39 Comments

Climate Sensitivity on the Rise

There’s a Nature news & views article by Kyle Armour called Projection and prediction: Climate sensitivity on the rise. It discusses various analyses that indicate that simple energy balance methods tend to under-estimate climate sensitivity. Normally, I would write a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 100 Comments

Climate sensitivity reconciled?

There’s a really interesting paper by Mark Richardson, Kevin Cowtan, Ed Hawkins, and Martin Stolpe called Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Ed already has post that explains it all very clearly, so … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 106 Comments

Planetary Energy Imbalance

I’m on a train heading to a meeting, and so, to move on from the whole Brexit saga, I thought I would briefly highlight this recent paper that provides an [Improved] estimate of Earth’s energy imbalance. It uses ocean heat … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Committed warming

There’s been a bit of a discussion on Twitter about what it would take to stabilise atmospheric concentrations, or to stabilise global average temperatures (there seemed to be some confusion as to which was being stabilised). The bottom line seems … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 148 Comments

The TCR-to-ECS ratio

Something I’ve been interested in is whether or not the ratio between the Transient Climate Response (TCR) and the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) best estimates from most of Nic Lewis’s work makes sense. Typically his TCR best estimate is around … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 76 Comments