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Tag Archives: TCRE
New ocean heat content analysis
Update: (26/09/2019) This paper has now been retracted. The authors says Shortly after publication, arising from comments from Nicholas Lewis, we realized that our reported uncertainties were underestimated owing to our treatment of certain systematic errors as random errors. In … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Policy, Research
Tagged Climate sensitivity, ECS, Ocean heat content, OHC, Resplandy, TCR, TCRE
183 Comments
A bit more about carbon budgets
I’ve been mostly at home today since we had a power cut at work and the site ended up being closed. So, I thought I would post a few more thoughts about the Millar et al. 1.5oC carbon budget paper. … Continue reading
More time …. really?
A recent paper about [e]mission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C essentially argues that it is still possible to follow an emission pathway that will give us a good chance of keeping warming below 1.5oC. More specifically, … Continue reading
Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity
Since I’ve written about climate sensitivity before, and since I have a few free moments, I thought I would briefly highlight a new paper by Knutti, Rugenstein, and Hegerl called Beyond Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity. It’s really a review of a … Continue reading
The TCR-to-ECS ratio
Something I’ve been interested in is whether or not the ratio between the Transient Climate Response (TCR) and the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) best estimates from most of Nic Lewis’s work makes sense. Typically his TCR best estimate is around … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science
Tagged Climate sensitivity, ECS, Energy balance models, James Hansen, Nic Lewis, TCR, TCRE
78 Comments
5000 GtC
The advantage of working at a university, is that you get the opportunity to attend interesting seminars, especially if Kit Carruthers reminds you (on which note, I also discovered that Kit submitted his PhD thesis last month). The talk today … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Personal, Science
Tagged 5000 GtC, Carbon budget, Cumulative emissions, Global warming, Kit Carruthers, Nathan Gillett, TCRE
10 Comments
Sensitivity to cumulative emissions
Something I’ve mentioned here quite regularly is the idea that warming depends roughly linearly on cumulative (total) emissions. This is slightly counter intuitive, in that warming depends logarithmically on atmospheric CO2 concentration. The reason is essentially that it incorporates climate … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Judith Curry, Science
Tagged Bishop-Hill, Climate etc., Climate sensitivity, Cumulative emissions, IPCC, Nic Lewis, TCRE
202 Comments