Tag Archives: Statistical significance

One graph to rule them all

Given that I’ve written a number of posts about the so-called “pause”, I thought I would mention a recent paper by Lewandowsky, Risbey & Oreskes called On the definition and identifiability of the alleged “hiatus” in global warming. I don’t … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, ENSO, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 74 Comments

Under confident

Naomi Oreskes has a recent article in the New York Times called Playing Dumb on Climate Change. The article discusses statistical significance and, in particular, Type I (false positive) and Type II (false negative) errors. The basic point being made … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 195 Comments

Come on Andrew, you can get this.

Andrew Montford, an influential climate blogger in the UK, is – once again – suggesting that man made climate change is not clear because, we are unable to demonstrate a statistically significant change in surface temperatures because of the difficulty … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Satire, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 229 Comments

Watt about the pause or decline?

There is a recent post on Watts Up With That (WUWT) called are we in a pause or a decline (now includes at least April data). The answer, in my scientific opinion, is neither. I don’t quite know what argument … Continue reading

Posted in Anthony Watts, Climate change, Global warming, Watts Up With That | Tagged , , , , , , , | 18 Comments