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Monthly Archives: July 2017
Beyond climate consensus
I’ve had a chance to read the recent Beyond Climate Consensus paper by Warren Pearce, Reiner Grundmann, and colleagues. I’ve only just realised that it cites my blog, which might be a first. The paper itself is a Commentary, rather … Continue reading
TBH, I don’t really like consensus messaging either
Originally posted on …and Then There's Physics:
I might have to give Dan Kahan some credit. Even though I’m not convinced that consensus messaging is toxic and polarising in general, there are certainly circumstances in which it can be,…
I’m back….almost
Okay, I’m not quite back. I’m on the ferry from Coll to Oban (the picture is actually taken on the trip from Oban to Coll – the weather now is not that great). We’ve spent a week doing what I … Continue reading
Off for a couple of weeks
I’m leaving for a meeting early tomorrow morning and then heading out on holiday as soon as I’m back, so posting – from me, at least – will probably be light for a couple of weeks. To be quite honest, … Continue reading
Posted in ClimateBall, Science, Scientists, Sound Science (tm)
Tagged David Wallace-Wells, Nuclear, Renewables
25 Comments
Doomsday scenarios
There’s been a bit of a furore over an article called The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells. The goal was clearly to investigate some of the extreme scenarios, but – unfortunately – the article got a number of things wrong … Continue reading
Reconciling climate sensitivity estimates – part III, or IV?
I mentioned in a recent post that there was a new paper that claims to reconciles climate sensitivity estimates. The basic issue is that observationally-based climate sensitivity estimates have a range of about 1.5oC to about 3oC, while climate model … Continue reading
Proposing A Non-Cynical Red Team Exercise
(Guest posting by Michael Tobis. Opinions expressed here are mt’s only.) Some people who dismiss the climate change issue like to call it “the CAGW hypothesis” for “Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming”. The name is quadruply irritating, inasmuch as 1) a … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
272 Comments
Hawking is wrong
I guess the big alarmist news at the moment is that Stephen Hawking has been quoted as saying: Trump’s action could push the Earth over the brink, to become like Venus, with a temperature of two hundred and fifty degrees, … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Science
Tagged Ken Caldeira, Robert Grumbine, Runaway, Stephen Hawking, Venus, Venus-like runaway
64 Comments
Temperature targets
I realise Michael Tobis is planning a follow-up to his post, but I thought would quickly pen this post about temperature targets, for example the Paris target of keeping the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C above … Continue reading
The Only Way Not To Lose Is to Play
In Climateball, the only way to lose is not to play. Consequently the only way not to lose is to play. Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
158 Comments