Tag Archives: Ken Caldeira

Warming commitments

There’s been quite a lot of recent discussion about warming commitments. It started with an article by Bob Berwyn called Net Zero Emissions Would Stabilize Climate Quickly Says UK Scientist, followed soon after by one saying [w]arming already baked in … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research | Tagged , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Have CO2 emissions peaked?

I noticed, as has Stoat, that Ken Caldeira and Ted Nordhaus have a bet about whether or not we’ve reached peak CO2 emissions. Specifically, the bet is Between 2021 and the end of 2030, annual fossil fuel emissions (excluding carbonation) … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ethics, Global warming, Philosophy for Bloggers | Tagged , , , , | 91 Comments

The impact of 4C of global warming

On a number of occasions I’ve highlighted Kevin Anderson saying At 4oC most of the scientists I talk to about this, and the social scientists as well, would say it’s incompatible with organised global community. I don’t know if this … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Environmental change, Global warming | Tagged , , , , | 65 Comments

Research should inform, not influence

Thomas Basbøll, who I sometimes have discussions with on Twitter, has a guest post on the LSE impact blog claiming that we need our scientists to build models that frame our policies, not to tell stories that shape them. If … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Policy, Politics, Research, Scientists, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 339 Comments

What if global warming ends up being greater than we thought?

I recently wrote a post about the Brown & Caldeira paper which suggests that climate sensitivity may be on the high side of the range. Rather predictably, Nic Lewis has a guest post on Climate Etc in which he looks … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, GRRRROWTH, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 71 Comments

Greater future global warming?

Before I go out I wanted to briefly mention a recent paper by Patrick Brown and Ken Caldeira called [g]reater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget. Patrick Brown already has a nice blog post about this with … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 71 Comments

Hawking is wrong

I guess the big alarmist news at the moment is that Stephen Hawking has been quoted as saying: Trump’s action could push the Earth over the brink, to become like Venus, with a temperature of two hundred and fifty degrees, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 64 Comments

We might not be certain, but…..

Bret Stephens, the newly appointed Op-Ed writer for the New York Times, has released his first column to much criticism. It’s a rather strawman-laden column in which he essentially argues that it’s okay to doubt climate science, and/or climate policy, … Continue reading

Posted in advocacy, Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Science, Severe Events, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , | 144 Comments

Maximum warming

There’s an interesting new paper by Katharine Ricke and Ken Caldeira called Maximum warming occurs about one decade after a carbon dioxide emission. The basic result of the paper is that the median time between the emission of some CO2 … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 127 Comments