Tag Archives: ECS

Prospects for narrowing ECS bounds

I was just going to briefly mention a new paper by Stevens, Sherwood, Bony and Webb in which they present [p]rospects for narrowing bounds on Earth’s equilibrium climate sensitivity. The basic argument is similar to what has – at times … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 64 Comments

Non-linear climate sensitivity

Rather strangely, the recent Science Advances paper Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming, that’s been getting some attention recently, made it into our Journal Club today (and it had nothing to do with me). It’s, consequently, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall | Tagged , , , , | 131 Comments

Model tuning

Came across a very interesting paper on the art and science of climate model tuning. Based on the comments here, it appears that some are interpreting this as confirming their claims that climate models are tuned to give preferred results. … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 262 Comments

Full-depth OHC

Since my holiday is now over, I thought I might briefly comment on a recent paper by Cheng et al., called Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat-content changes for 1970–2005. John Abraham, one of the authors, has already discussed it … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 39 Comments

Climate Sensitivity on the Rise

There’s a Nature news & views article by Kyle Armour called Projection and prediction: Climate sensitivity on the rise. It discusses various analyses that indicate that simple energy balance methods tend to under-estimate climate sensitivity. Normally, I would write a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 100 Comments

Planetary Energy Imbalance

I’m on a train heading to a meeting, and so, to move on from the whole Brexit saga, I thought I would briefly highlight this recent paper that provides an [Improved] estimate of Earth’s energy imbalance. It uses ocean heat … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Committed warming

There’s been a bit of a discussion on Twitter about what it would take to stabilise atmospheric concentrations, or to stabilise global average temperatures (there seemed to be some confusion as to which was being stabilised). The bottom line seems … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 148 Comments