Tag Archives: ECS

A bit more about clouds

A few years ago I posted a video by Andrew Dessler that was discussing whether or not Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity could be less than 3oC. The bottom line was that the best estimate for ECS is about 3oC. Given that … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

A bit more about committed warming

On a number of occasions I’ve pointed out that our warming committment is not actually the equilibrium temperature to our current atmospheric concentration because, if we halted all emissions, atmospheric CO2 would drop as the natural sinks took up more … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , | 80 Comments

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

Since I’ve written about climate sensitivity before, and since I have a few free moments, I thought I would briefly highlight a new paper by Knutti, Rugenstein, and Hegerl called Beyond Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity. It’s really a review of a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Machine unlearning

Someone sent me a paper by John Abbot and Jennifer Marohasy called the application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change. Their conclusion is that most of the observed warming could be natural and that the Equilibrium … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , | 185 Comments

Reconciling ECS estimates – again

I’m heading home after giving a public talk, and have a bit of time to write about the recent Armour paper Projection and Prediction: Climate Sensitivity on the rise. It’s basically another attempt to reconcile energy balance estimates for climate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Judith Curry, Science | Tagged , , , , , | 115 Comments

Matt Ridley responds to Tim Palmer

I came across a response, by Matt Ridley, to Tim Palmer’s talk. I’ve posted Matt Ridley’s response below. One interesting aspect of his response is that it is written as if he is someone with the expertise to actually debate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 52 Comments

Catastrophe, hoax, or just “Lukewarm”?

I thought I would post this video of a talk given by Tim Palmer. The basic message is that climate change is neither a hoax, going to be catastrophic, or going to be benign (Lukewarm). What climate science can (and … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming, IPCC, Research, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 119 Comments