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Rachel Squirrel- When every child gets a trophy except for one
- What happened to the Green party?
- Elizabeth dancing the Highland Laddie
- Lost Loch Distillery and standing stones
- Getting out of bed for berry compote
- Pigeon rescue, St Andrews, Rufflets, and antique lecture notes
- Meet Howard the highland cow, crochet animal head
- Elizabeth, litterers, chocolate, Easter
- Books, knitting, daffodils, and diet
- Scotland’s new hate crime law
- Rabett Run
- Alex Tabarrock and Argumentum ad Flubberum
- Brian's new gig
- Something left unsaid about Koutsoyiannis et al.
- "A Left That Refuses to Condemn Mass Murder Is Doomed"
- Well, crud
- Don't trifle with judges, Montana edition
- Which Came First or Beyond Correlation
- Gasoline consumption, California and USA
- Sea level rise came first for the Vikings, now it's coming for you
- What do physicists want?
- HotWhopper
- The last 10 years are the hottest ever, yet deniers are still in denial
- Victor Venema, climate scientist, valued friend to many
- Email went down, now it's back
- We've got to get serious about climate, we've wasted too much time
- Alert for HotWhopper email subscribers to resubscribe
- Beware of internal conflicts, rivalries and toxic behaviour polluting climate action
- Where to from here?
- Everything climate disinformation from the climate conspiracy-theorists at WattsUpWithThat
- Rating climate science deniers to decide how/if to engage
- Greetings of the season, happy hols, stay safe
- Variable Variability
- One more reason I dislike linking climate change and extinction
- The 10th anniversary of the still unpublished Watts et al. (2012) manuscript
- New German Sovereign Tech Fund will fund open source digital infrastructure to avert the next log4j
- We launched a new group to promote the translation of the scientific literature
- The confusing politics behind John Stossel asking Are We Doomed?
- Antigen rapid tests much less effective for screening than previously thought according to top German virologist Drosten
- New paper: Spanish and German climatologists on how to remove errors from observed climate trends
- Yes, it makes sense not to have diner parties while the schools are still open. Think of it as a Corona contact budget.
- Science Feedback on Steroids
- The deleted chapter of the WMO Guidance on the homogenisation of climate station data
- RealClimate
- Unforced Variations: May 2024
- Much ado about acceleration
- Unforced variations: Apr 2024
- More solar shenanigans*
- Unforced variations: March 2024
- New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
- Unforced variations: Feb 2024
- Spencer’s Shenanigans
- Not just another dot on the graph? Part II
- Not just another dot on the graph?
- Open Mind
- Climate denial crock of the week
- Are America’s Aquifers in Crisis?
- Are US Carmakers Toast? China’s EVs Sleek, Well Made, and Cheap
- Climate Crisis Animal Vid of the Week: Horses Rescued from Texas Flooding
- Michigan Attorney General: I’m Putting Together a Team
- PBS NewsHour: Next Step in E-Flight – Training Electric Aircraft Pilots
- Tornadoes Challenge Climate Science and Models
- States Moving to Hold Climate Criminals Accountable
- Nuclear’s Challenge as Renewables Surge
- Trump’s Pay for Play Proposition for Big Oil. Elect Me to Kill Clean Energy.
- Insurance Industry Looks at Convective Storm Losses
- robertscribbler
- OBX Wave Report July 6 — 1-2 Foot, Waves Likely to Build a Bit Friday and Saturday
- The OBX Wave Report July 5 — 1-2 Foot With Some Shark Bumps Reported
- OBX Wave Report July 4th — Celebrating Freedom in the 2 Foot Surf
- OBX Wave Report July 3 — 2 Foot, Clean, Hot Weather
- OBX Wave Report July 2 — 2-3 Foot With Little Barrels + Talking Climate Crisis
- OBX Wave Report June 30 — 2-4 Foot Friday For Future + Record Global Heat
- OBX Wave Report June 29 — Gorgeous Green 2-3 Footers With Light Northeast Winds
- OBX Wave Report June 28 — 2-3 Foot and Semi-Clean
- OBX Wave Report June 27 — 1-3 Foot and Cleaning Up Through Afternoon
- OBX Wave Report June 26 — 1-3 Foot and Choppy With Strong Southerly Winds
- Moyhu
- GISS April global temperature down by 0.07°C from March.
- April global surface TempLS down 0.004°C from March, but still warmest April in record.
- GISS March global temperature down by 0.05°C from February.
- March global surface TempLS down 0.11°C from February, but still warmest March in record.
- GISS February global temperature up by 0.22°C from January.
- February global surface TempLS up 0.163°C from January; warmest February in record.
- GISS January global temperature down by 0.14°C from December.
- January global surface TempLS down 0.165°C from December, but still warmest January in record.
- GISS December global temperature down by 0.06°C from November.
- Graphics to show magnitude of 2023 warming.
- Real Sceptic
- Choosing Alternative Medicine To Treat Cancer Is Deadly
- Why We Became Scientists: Dunderhead
- AGU Fall Meeting Day 1 – Education And Science Outreach
- San Francisco Meet Up & AGU Fall Meeting
- The Big Pharma Cancer Conspiracy
- Activity Trackers Aren’t A Weight Loss Miracle Cure
- Brexit: Emotions Trumped Facts During UK’s Referendum
- Devastating Reply To Richard Tol’s Nonsensus In Peer-Reviewed Journal
- How to hide most of China’s coal consumption
- Willie Soon’s Deliverables
- Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology
- Resampling Assemblage Counts
- A demo targets plan for reproducible pipelines for Neotoma data
- Reproducibility of high resolution reconstruction – one year on
- Simplistic and Dangerous Models
- COVID-19, climate and the plague of preprints
- Erroneous information … was given
- Making a pollen diagram from Neotoma
- Count sums – the preprint
- Count-less chironomids?
- Tools for a reproducible manuscript
- James’s Empty Blog
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Edmunds’ view
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Letter to the UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Why does doubling time matter?
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Introduction
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry: Module 2
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Retired
- No comment necessary
- Chess
- BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: EGU 2022 – how cold was the LGM (again)?
- More than just data
- EGU 2022: Back in person
- vEGU2021: A “zoom” into science
- Digital conferences – how might they work?
- EGU 2020: A “chatty” conference
- Post-processing paper background: Do we need new approaches in verification?
- Post-processing paper background: EMD and IQD? What is it about?
- Post-processing paper background: Why do we need verification with uncertain observations?
- Post-processing paper background: Why does sub-sampling work?
- Post-processing paper background: What is sub-sampling?
- Background to “Seasonal statistical-dynamical prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation by probabilistic post-processing and its evaluation”
- Mallemaroking
- A comment piece on the SROCC
- Hudson Bay is breaking up early
- A trillion tonnes of ice on the move: Iceberg A68A
- Venta Maersk and the Northern Sea Route
- North Water Polynya in Nares Strait is opening
- Iceberg A38 at South Georgia in 2004
- Iceberg A68: You can’t always get what you want
- The Weddell Polynya to 23 November 2017
- Antarctic sea ice November 2017
- Rydberg Peninsula polynya October 2017
- Symptons of the Universe
- Open Letter: We reject the absurd QS/THE World University Rankings
- University World Rankings: How Low Can We Go?
- How offensive is the UCU?
- Clarification from UKRI on salary deductions
- Stretched Beyond The Limits
- Quantum Mechanix
- Quantum Mechanics and Mystics: Who Wooed Whom?
- PhD opening in Nottingham Nanoscience Group: AI & Atoms
- AI vs A-level
- Music by Ch@ – the artist formerly known as Chat GPT
Tag Archives: Precautionary principle
Precautionary measures
Nassim Taleb, who is the originator of the Black Swan theory, is – amongst others – the author of a short essay called Climate models and precautionary measures. The basic premise seems to be that because this is a global … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science
Tagged Climate risk, Judith Curry, Kevin Anderson, Nassim Taleb, Precautionary principle
72 Comments
Things I thought were obvious – part 2
I know this is a little old, but Judith Curry had a post a week or so ago about whether or not climate change is a ruin problem. I wasn’t wanting to discuss it detail, but there was something in … Continue reading
Black swans
Eli’s recent post about Black swans, and black cats, motivated me to look into what the whole Black Swan idea was all about. As I understand it, a Black Swan event is simply an unexpected event, that has a significant … Continue reading
...and Then There's Physics 