Recent Comments
Rachel Squirrel- When every child gets a trophy except for one
- What happened to the Green party?
- Elizabeth dancing the Highland Laddie
- Lost Loch Distillery and standing stones
- Getting out of bed for berry compote
- Pigeon rescue, St Andrews, Rufflets, and antique lecture notes
- Meet Howard the highland cow, crochet animal head
- Elizabeth, litterers, chocolate, Easter
- Books, knitting, daffodils, and diet
- Scotland’s new hate crime law
- Rabett Run
- Alex Tabarrock and Argumentum ad Flubberum
- Brian's new gig
- Something left unsaid about Koutsoyiannis et al.
- "A Left That Refuses to Condemn Mass Murder Is Doomed"
- Well, crud
- Don't trifle with judges, Montana edition
- Which Came First or Beyond Correlation
- Gasoline consumption, California and USA
- Sea level rise came first for the Vikings, now it's coming for you
- What do physicists want?
- HotWhopper
- The last 10 years are the hottest ever, yet deniers are still in denial
- Victor Venema, climate scientist, valued friend to many
- Email went down, now it's back
- We've got to get serious about climate, we've wasted too much time
- Alert for HotWhopper email subscribers to resubscribe
- Beware of internal conflicts, rivalries and toxic behaviour polluting climate action
- Where to from here?
- Everything climate disinformation from the climate conspiracy-theorists at WattsUpWithThat
- Rating climate science deniers to decide how/if to engage
- Greetings of the season, happy hols, stay safe
- Variable Variability
- One more reason I dislike linking climate change and extinction
- The 10th anniversary of the still unpublished Watts et al. (2012) manuscript
- New German Sovereign Tech Fund will fund open source digital infrastructure to avert the next log4j
- We launched a new group to promote the translation of the scientific literature
- The confusing politics behind John Stossel asking Are We Doomed?
- Antigen rapid tests much less effective for screening than previously thought according to top German virologist Drosten
- New paper: Spanish and German climatologists on how to remove errors from observed climate trends
- Yes, it makes sense not to have diner parties while the schools are still open. Think of it as a Corona contact budget.
- Science Feedback on Steroids
- The deleted chapter of the WMO Guidance on the homogenisation of climate station data
- RealClimate
- Unforced Variations: May 2024
- Much ado about acceleration
- Unforced variations: Apr 2024
- More solar shenanigans*
- Unforced variations: March 2024
- New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
- Unforced variations: Feb 2024
- Spencer’s Shenanigans
- Not just another dot on the graph? Part II
- Not just another dot on the graph?
- Open Mind
- Climate denial crock of the week
- NYTimes Blockbuster on Climate and Home Insurance
- Will New Rules Break Transmission Logjam?
- NBC on Canadian Fires, US Air Quality
- Smoke Returns to Heartland. Canada’s Wildfires Back
- Are America’s Aquifers in Crisis?
- Are US Carmakers Toast? China’s EVs Sleek, Well Made, and Cheap
- Climate Crisis Animal Vid of the Week: Horses Rescued from Texas Flooding
- Michigan Attorney General: I’m Putting Together a Team
- PBS NewsHour: Next Step in E-Flight – Training Electric Aircraft Pilots
- Tornadoes Challenge Climate Science and Models
- robertscribbler
- OBX Wave Report July 6 — 1-2 Foot, Waves Likely to Build a Bit Friday and Saturday
- The OBX Wave Report July 5 — 1-2 Foot With Some Shark Bumps Reported
- OBX Wave Report July 4th — Celebrating Freedom in the 2 Foot Surf
- OBX Wave Report July 3 — 2 Foot, Clean, Hot Weather
- OBX Wave Report July 2 — 2-3 Foot With Little Barrels + Talking Climate Crisis
- OBX Wave Report June 30 — 2-4 Foot Friday For Future + Record Global Heat
- OBX Wave Report June 29 — Gorgeous Green 2-3 Footers With Light Northeast Winds
- OBX Wave Report June 28 — 2-3 Foot and Semi-Clean
- OBX Wave Report June 27 — 1-3 Foot and Cleaning Up Through Afternoon
- OBX Wave Report June 26 — 1-3 Foot and Choppy With Strong Southerly Winds
- Moyhu
- GISS April global temperature down by 0.07°C from March.
- April global surface TempLS down 0.004°C from March, but still warmest April in record.
- GISS March global temperature down by 0.05°C from February.
- March global surface TempLS down 0.11°C from February, but still warmest March in record.
- GISS February global temperature up by 0.22°C from January.
- February global surface TempLS up 0.163°C from January; warmest February in record.
- GISS January global temperature down by 0.14°C from December.
- January global surface TempLS down 0.165°C from December, but still warmest January in record.
- GISS December global temperature down by 0.06°C from November.
- Graphics to show magnitude of 2023 warming.
- Real Sceptic
- Choosing Alternative Medicine To Treat Cancer Is Deadly
- Why We Became Scientists: Dunderhead
- AGU Fall Meeting Day 1 – Education And Science Outreach
- San Francisco Meet Up & AGU Fall Meeting
- The Big Pharma Cancer Conspiracy
- Activity Trackers Aren’t A Weight Loss Miracle Cure
- Brexit: Emotions Trumped Facts During UK’s Referendum
- Devastating Reply To Richard Tol’s Nonsensus In Peer-Reviewed Journal
- How to hide most of China’s coal consumption
- Willie Soon’s Deliverables
- Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology
- Resampling Assemblage Counts
- A demo targets plan for reproducible pipelines for Neotoma data
- Reproducibility of high resolution reconstruction – one year on
- Simplistic and Dangerous Models
- COVID-19, climate and the plague of preprints
- Erroneous information … was given
- Making a pollen diagram from Neotoma
- Count sums – the preprint
- Count-less chironomids?
- Tools for a reproducible manuscript
- James’s Empty Blog
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Edmunds’ view
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Letter to the UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Why does doubling time matter?
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Introduction
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry: Module 2
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Retired
- No comment necessary
- Chess
- BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: EGU 2022 – how cold was the LGM (again)?
- More than just data
- EGU 2022: Back in person
- vEGU2021: A “zoom” into science
- Digital conferences – how might they work?
- EGU 2020: A “chatty” conference
- Post-processing paper background: Do we need new approaches in verification?
- Post-processing paper background: EMD and IQD? What is it about?
- Post-processing paper background: Why do we need verification with uncertain observations?
- Post-processing paper background: Why does sub-sampling work?
- Post-processing paper background: What is sub-sampling?
- Background to “Seasonal statistical-dynamical prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation by probabilistic post-processing and its evaluation”
- Mallemaroking
- A comment piece on the SROCC
- Hudson Bay is breaking up early
- A trillion tonnes of ice on the move: Iceberg A68A
- Venta Maersk and the Northern Sea Route
- North Water Polynya in Nares Strait is opening
- Iceberg A38 at South Georgia in 2004
- Iceberg A68: You can’t always get what you want
- The Weddell Polynya to 23 November 2017
- Antarctic sea ice November 2017
- Rydberg Peninsula polynya October 2017
- Symptons of the Universe
- Open Letter: We reject the absurd QS/THE World University Rankings
- University World Rankings: How Low Can We Go?
- How offensive is the UCU?
- Clarification from UKRI on salary deductions
- Stretched Beyond The Limits
- Quantum Mechanix
- Quantum Mechanics and Mystics: Who Wooed Whom?
- PhD opening in Nottingham Nanoscience Group: AI & Atoms
- AI vs A-level
- Music by Ch@ – the artist formerly known as Chat GPT
Tag Archives: AGW
Climate change doesn’t work like that
A couple of years ago I wrote a post where I tried to explain why I thought climate change was a different kind of problem when compared to most of the other issues we might face today. I find it … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Environmental change, ethics, Policy, Science
Tagged AGW, atmospheric CO2, Jessica Tierney, Jody Freeman, Jonathan Gilligan, Pliocene
72 Comments
Extreme event attribution and the nature-culture duality
I’ve been reading a paper by Shannon Osaka and Rob Bellamy called Weather in the Anthropocene: Extreme event attribution and a modelled nature–culture divide. I’ve written about event attribution before, and I’m largely in favour of the storyline approach; given … Continue reading
Outgoing longwave radiation
Something that often strikes me is that when I think I understand something quite well, there often turns out to be an aspect that I haven’t understood particularly well. I sometimes think that this is can be an important thing … Continue reading
AGW in One GIF
An image is said to be worth a thousand words. A GIF encapsulates many images. This one may not cover all ClimateBall players said, but I like it: Which words would that GIF be worth? If you got another illustration … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Global warming, We Are Science
Tagged AGW, dinosaurs, GIF, Open Thread, trampolines
21 Comments
Tame and Wicked Problems
Reiner Grundmann has a new paper on The rightful placeful of expertise. It’s rather long, but there were a couple of things I wanted to highlight, and it gives me chance to try and stress something I was trying to … Continue reading
Sea level rise
There’s a bizarre article in the Wall Street Journal by Fred Singer called, The Sea Is Rising, but Not Because of Climate Change. It’s actually so bonkers that it’s quite hard to know where to start. I’ll give it go, … Continue reading
ECS from a modified energy balance approach
Andrew Dessler’s paper (technically Dessler and Forster), which he mentioned in this comment, has now appeared as a pre-print. Essentially, they use an energy balance approach to estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), but – as I mentioned in this post … Continue reading
Galactic cosmic rays
There’s a recent Nature Communications paper by Svensmark et al. called [i]ncreased ionization supports growth of aerosols into cloud condensation nuclei. The basic idea is that cosmic rays (energetic particles typically accelerated by shock waves) can influence the growth of … Continue reading
Assessing global warming
A couple of years ago I wrote a joint post with Roger Pielke Sr that discussed assessing anthropogenic global warming. The post basically used changes in ocean heat content to assess anthropogenic global warming. The basic idea (which is not … Continue reading
Avoiding dangerous to catastrophic climate change
I haven’t really had much to say, hence the lack of posts. I still don’t, but I thought I would quickly highlight a recent paper by Xu and Ramanathan called Well below 2 °C: Mitigation strategies for avoiding dangerous to … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science
Tagged AGW, Catastrophic, Emission reductions, Existential threat, Zero emissions
71 Comments
...and Then There's Physics 