Tag Archives: AGW

Extreme event attribution and the nature-culture duality

I’ve been reading a paper by Shannon Osaka and Rob Bellamy called Weather in the Anthropocene: Extreme event attribution and a modelled nature–culture divide. I’ve written about event attribution before, and I’m largely in favour of the storyline approach; given … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Environmental change, Global warming, Philosophy for Bloggers, Severe Events, The philosophy of science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 138 Comments

Outgoing longwave radiation

Something that often strikes me is that when I think I understand something quite well, there often turns out to be an aspect that I haven’t understood particularly well. I sometimes think that this is can be an important thing … Continue reading

Posted in Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Philosophy for Bloggers, The philosophy of science, The scientific method, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 37 Comments

AGW in One GIF

An image is said to be worth a thousand words. A GIF encapsulates many images. This one may not cover all ClimateBall players said, but I like it: Which words would that GIF be worth? If you got another illustration … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Global warming, We Are Science | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

Tame and Wicked Problems

Reiner Grundmann has a new paper on The rightful placeful of expertise. It’s rather long, but there were a couple of things I wanted to highlight, and it gives me chance to try and stress something I was trying to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Scientists, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , | 88 Comments

Sea level rise

There’s a bizarre article in the Wall Street Journal by Fred Singer called, The Sea Is Rising, but Not Because of Climate Change. It’s actually so bonkers that it’s quite hard to know where to start. I’ll give it go, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Comedy, Global warming, Pseudoscience | Tagged , , , , | 212 Comments

ECS from a modified energy balance approach

Andrew Dessler’s paper (technically Dessler and Forster), which he mentioned in this comment, has now appeared as a pre-print. Essentially, they use an energy balance approach to estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), but – as I mentioned in this post … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Global warming, Research, Science, The scientific method | Tagged , , , , , , , | 144 Comments

Galactic cosmic rays

There’s a recent Nature Communications paper by Svensmark et al. called [i]ncreased ionization supports growth of aerosols into cloud condensation nuclei. The basic idea is that cosmic rays (energetic particles typically accelerated by shock waves) can influence the growth of … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, Science, Sound Science (tm) | Tagged , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Assessing global warming

A couple of years ago I wrote a joint post with Roger Pielke Sr that discussed assessing anthropogenic global warming. The post basically used changes in ocean heat content to assess anthropogenic global warming. The basic idea (which is not … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 69 Comments

Avoiding dangerous to catastrophic climate change

I haven’t really had much to say, hence the lack of posts. I still don’t, but I thought I would quickly highlight a recent paper by Xu and Ramanathan called Well below 2 °C: Mitigation strategies for avoiding dangerous to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, Science | Tagged , , , , | 71 Comments

Extreme weather events

Gavin Schmidt had an interesting Twitter thread about discussing the link between extreme weather events and climate change. I’ve included an image of the thread on the right (click on it to expand) but the basic suggestion (with which I … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Science, Scientists | Tagged , , , , , , | 156 Comments