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Tag Archives: IPCC
Plausible emission scenarios
A paper by Roger Pielke Jr, Matthew Burgess and Justin Ritchie has been submitted that suggests that the most plausible 2005-2040 emission scenarios project less than 2.5oC of warming by 2100. It’s generated a bit of debate on social media, … Continue reading
Posted in ClimateBall, Global warming, Policy, Roger Pielke Jr
Tagged IPCC, RCP, RCP8.5, Representative Concentration Pathways, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, SSP
67 Comments
2025?
One of the demands from Extinction rebellion is that the [g]overnment must act now to halt biodiversity loss and reduce greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2025. This has been criticised as being so unrealistic as to potentially damage … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Global warming, Policy, Politics
Tagged Emission reductions, Extinction rebellion, IPCC, Paris agreement, SR15 report
48 Comments
We have 12 years
Patrick Brown has a recent blog post about whether, or not, the IPCC claims that we have 12 years to avoid catastrophic global warming. As his post highlights, there are a number of problems with this claim. Firstly, the IPCC … Continue reading
Toys, pram, out!
It seems that Roger Pielke Jr is having a bit of a rant on Twitter about an interview Michael Mann gave about the recent Congressional Hearings. He accuses Michael Mann of lying about him and also suggests that he might … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Michael Mann, Roger Pielke Jr
Tagged Congressional hearings, ethics, IPCC, John Christy, Judith Curry, Michael Mann, Rant, Roger Pielke Jr, Twitter
20 Comments
Oh no, not again
Somehow a paper arguing that the increase in atmospheric CO2 is mostly natural has managed to pass peer-review. Gavin Schmidt’s already covered it in a Realcimate post. Gavin Cawley’s paper is, in a sense, a pre-emptive response to this new … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, IPCC, Pseudoscience, Research
Tagged anthropogenic emissions, atmospheric CO2, David Archer, Gavin Cawley, Gavin Schmidt, Hermann Harde, IPCC, RealClimate
70 Comments
Judith Curry confuses laypeople about climate models
Judith Curry has written a report for the Global Warming Policy Foundation called Climate Models for the layman. As you can imagine, the key conclusions is that climate models are not fit for the purpose of justifying political policies to … Continue reading
Posted in Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Judith Curry, Science, The scientific method
Tagged Climate models, GCMs, Global Warming Policy Foundation, GWPF, IPCC, Policy
110 Comments
Sensitivity to cumulative emissions
Something I’ve mentioned here quite regularly is the idea that warming depends roughly linearly on cumulative (total) emissions. This is slightly counter intuitive, in that warming depends logarithmically on atmospheric CO2 concentration. The reason is essentially that it incorporates climate … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, Climate sensitivity, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Judith Curry, Science
Tagged Bishop-Hill, Climate etc., Climate sensitivity, Cumulative emissions, IPCC, Nic Lewis, TCRE
202 Comments
Clarity of meaning
A while ago I discussed a Nature Climate Change article by Greg Hollin and Warren Pearce called Tension between scientific certainty and meaning complicates communication of IPCC reports. A number of us submitted a response, which appeared today together with … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, IPCC, Science
Tagged Certainty trap, Greg Hollin, Hottest decade, IPCC, Making Science Public, Nature Climate Change, The "pause", Warren Pearce
50 Comments
“very likely” versus “extremely likely”
In IPCC land “very likely” means 90% – 100% probability, while extremely likely means 95% – 100% probability. In light of that, I was wondering if anyone had any insights as to why, in Chapter 10 of the IPCC’s WGI … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Global warming, IPCC, Science
Tagged Anthropogenic influences, attribution, Fabius Maximus, GHGs, IPCC
21 Comments