Recent Comments
Jordan Peterson: A C… on Propagation of nonsense… Jordan Peterson: A C… on Propagation of nonsense Chubbs on Doubling down? Just Dean on Doubling down? 
I colori delle Alpi… on Revisiting causality using… 
Huitfeldts icke-svar… on Roy Spencer and Intelligent… Paul Pukite (@whut) on Doubling down? Paul Pukite (@whut) on Doubling down? russellseitz on Doubling down? dikranmarsupial on Doubling down? 
Rachel Squirrel- When every child gets a trophy except for one
- What happened to the Green party?
- Elizabeth dancing the Highland Laddie
- Lost Loch Distillery and standing stones
- Getting out of bed for berry compote
- Pigeon rescue, St Andrews, Rufflets, and antique lecture notes
- Meet Howard the highland cow, crochet animal head
- Elizabeth, litterers, chocolate, Easter
- Books, knitting, daffodils, and diet
- Scotland’s new hate crime law
- Rabett Run
- Alex Tabarrock and Argumentum ad Flubberum
- Brian's new gig
- Something left unsaid about Koutsoyiannis et al.
- "A Left That Refuses to Condemn Mass Murder Is Doomed"
- Well, crud
- Don't trifle with judges, Montana edition
- Which Came First or Beyond Correlation
- Gasoline consumption, California and USA
- Sea level rise came first for the Vikings, now it's coming for you
- What do physicists want?
- HotWhopper
- The last 10 years are the hottest ever, yet deniers are still in denial
- Victor Venema, climate scientist, valued friend to many
- Email went down, now it's back
- We've got to get serious about climate, we've wasted too much time
- Alert for HotWhopper email subscribers to resubscribe
- Beware of internal conflicts, rivalries and toxic behaviour polluting climate action
- Where to from here?
- Everything climate disinformation from the climate conspiracy-theorists at WattsUpWithThat
- Rating climate science deniers to decide how/if to engage
- Greetings of the season, happy hols, stay safe
- Variable Variability
- One more reason I dislike linking climate change and extinction
- The 10th anniversary of the still unpublished Watts et al. (2012) manuscript
- New German Sovereign Tech Fund will fund open source digital infrastructure to avert the next log4j
- We launched a new group to promote the translation of the scientific literature
- The confusing politics behind John Stossel asking Are We Doomed?
- Antigen rapid tests much less effective for screening than previously thought according to top German virologist Drosten
- New paper: Spanish and German climatologists on how to remove errors from observed climate trends
- Yes, it makes sense not to have diner parties while the schools are still open. Think of it as a Corona contact budget.
- Science Feedback on Steroids
- The deleted chapter of the WMO Guidance on the homogenisation of climate station data
- RealClimate
- Unforced Variations: May 2024
- Much ado about acceleration
- Unforced variations: Apr 2024
- More solar shenanigans*
- Unforced variations: March 2024
- New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
- Unforced variations: Feb 2024
- Spencer’s Shenanigans
- Not just another dot on the graph? Part II
- Not just another dot on the graph?
- Open Mind
- Climate denial crock of the week
- Will New Rules Break Transmission Logjam?
- NBC on Canadian Fires, US Air Quality
- Smoke Returns to Heartland. Canada’s Wildfires Back
- Are America’s Aquifers in Crisis?
- Are US Carmakers Toast? China’s EVs Sleek, Well Made, and Cheap
- Climate Crisis Animal Vid of the Week: Horses Rescued from Texas Flooding
- Michigan Attorney General: I’m Putting Together a Team
- PBS NewsHour: Next Step in E-Flight – Training Electric Aircraft Pilots
- Tornadoes Challenge Climate Science and Models
- States Moving to Hold Climate Criminals Accountable
- robertscribbler
- OBX Wave Report July 6 — 1-2 Foot, Waves Likely to Build a Bit Friday and Saturday
- The OBX Wave Report July 5 — 1-2 Foot With Some Shark Bumps Reported
- OBX Wave Report July 4th — Celebrating Freedom in the 2 Foot Surf
- OBX Wave Report July 3 — 2 Foot, Clean, Hot Weather
- OBX Wave Report July 2 — 2-3 Foot With Little Barrels + Talking Climate Crisis
- OBX Wave Report June 30 — 2-4 Foot Friday For Future + Record Global Heat
- OBX Wave Report June 29 — Gorgeous Green 2-3 Footers With Light Northeast Winds
- OBX Wave Report June 28 — 2-3 Foot and Semi-Clean
- OBX Wave Report June 27 — 1-3 Foot and Cleaning Up Through Afternoon
- OBX Wave Report June 26 — 1-3 Foot and Choppy With Strong Southerly Winds
- Moyhu
- GISS April global temperature down by 0.07°C from March.
- April global surface TempLS down 0.004°C from March, but still warmest April in record.
- GISS March global temperature down by 0.05°C from February.
- March global surface TempLS down 0.11°C from February, but still warmest March in record.
- GISS February global temperature up by 0.22°C from January.
- February global surface TempLS up 0.163°C from January; warmest February in record.
- GISS January global temperature down by 0.14°C from December.
- January global surface TempLS down 0.165°C from December, but still warmest January in record.
- GISS December global temperature down by 0.06°C from November.
- Graphics to show magnitude of 2023 warming.
- Real Sceptic
- Choosing Alternative Medicine To Treat Cancer Is Deadly
- Why We Became Scientists: Dunderhead
- AGU Fall Meeting Day 1 – Education And Science Outreach
- San Francisco Meet Up & AGU Fall Meeting
- The Big Pharma Cancer Conspiracy
- Activity Trackers Aren’t A Weight Loss Miracle Cure
- Brexit: Emotions Trumped Facts During UK’s Referendum
- Devastating Reply To Richard Tol’s Nonsensus In Peer-Reviewed Journal
- How to hide most of China’s coal consumption
- Willie Soon’s Deliverables
- Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology
- Resampling Assemblage Counts
- A demo targets plan for reproducible pipelines for Neotoma data
- Reproducibility of high resolution reconstruction – one year on
- Simplistic and Dangerous Models
- COVID-19, climate and the plague of preprints
- Erroneous information … was given
- Making a pollen diagram from Neotoma
- Count sums – the preprint
- Count-less chironomids?
- Tools for a reproducible manuscript
- James’s Empty Blog
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Edmunds’ view
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Letter to the UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Why does doubling time matter?
- Vallance vs Vallance vs SAGE: Introduction
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry: Module 2
- UK Covid-19 Inquiry
- Retired
- No comment necessary
- Chess
- BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: EGU 2022 – how cold was the LGM (again)?
- More than just data
- EGU 2022: Back in person
- vEGU2021: A “zoom” into science
- Digital conferences – how might they work?
- EGU 2020: A “chatty” conference
- Post-processing paper background: Do we need new approaches in verification?
- Post-processing paper background: EMD and IQD? What is it about?
- Post-processing paper background: Why do we need verification with uncertain observations?
- Post-processing paper background: Why does sub-sampling work?
- Post-processing paper background: What is sub-sampling?
- Background to “Seasonal statistical-dynamical prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation by probabilistic post-processing and its evaluation”
- Mallemaroking
- A comment piece on the SROCC
- Hudson Bay is breaking up early
- A trillion tonnes of ice on the move: Iceberg A68A
- Venta Maersk and the Northern Sea Route
- North Water Polynya in Nares Strait is opening
- Iceberg A38 at South Georgia in 2004
- Iceberg A68: You can’t always get what you want
- The Weddell Polynya to 23 November 2017
- Antarctic sea ice November 2017
- Rydberg Peninsula polynya October 2017
- Symptons of the Universe
- Open Letter: We reject the absurd QS/THE World University Rankings
- University World Rankings: How Low Can We Go?
- How offensive is the UCU?
- Clarification from UKRI on salary deductions
- Stretched Beyond The Limits
- Quantum Mechanix
- Quantum Mechanics and Mystics: Who Wooed Whom?
- PhD opening in Nottingham Nanoscience Group: AI & Atoms
- AI vs A-level
- Music by Ch@ – the artist formerly known as Chat GPT
Tag Archives: William Connolley
Shifting the Overton window
Stoat has a new post about there being two sorts of people in the world in which he says the GND is not just stupid but would in the unlikely event of it being imposed be actively harmful; and at … Continue reading
Initial value problem vs boundary value problem
I haven’t actually looked at Judith Curry’s blog for a while, but popped across there and noticed a guest post about energy budgets, climate system domains, and internal variability. One reason why we think that we can actually do long-term … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Science
Tagged Chaos, Climate etc., Dan Hughes, James Annan, Judith Curry, Non-linear dynamics, Steve Easterbrook, William Connolley
392 Comments
Carbon budgets and the impacts of climate change
I’m somewhat stealing this from Stoat, but it’s an interesting topic, and it really originates from a tweet by Gavin Schmidt anyway 😉 I think this is correct. There's no connection to speak of between the impacts of carbon emissions … Continue reading
Posted in Carbon tax, Climate change, Gavin Schmidt, Policy
Tagged Carbon budgets, Climate policy, Joseph Heath, Social Cost of Carbon, William Connolley
82 Comments
Speaking out
There’s a current Twitter hashtag called #WeNeedToChangeTheWorld, which WMC has also discussed in this post. It’s bit cliché, but it’s probably true, for many reasons. As also mentioned in WMC’s post, Peter Jacobs tweeted the following The politics of the … Continue reading
Posted in ClimateBall, ethics, Policy, Politics, Scientists
Tagged #WeNeedToChangeTheWorld, Advocacy, Peter Jacobs, Political advocacy, William Connolley
144 Comments
Scientific civility and the climate wars
Partly because I managed to get my laptop to stop working (by spilling coffee on the keyboard) and partly because I don’t have much to say (well, not much that would be constructive) I haven’t posted for a few days. … Continue reading
Atmospheric Heat Engine
In the interests of unfanning (not actually a word, it would seem) the flames, or not fanning them any further, I thought I would write about what seems to be an interesting paper brought to my attention by William Connolley. … Continue reading
Woo hoo, fame at last!
It appears that I now have my very own Josh cartoon, currently being promoted on Bishop-Hill and Watts Up With That. I think I made an appearance in an earlier one, but this is the first to focus only on … Continue reading
Posted in Climate change, ClimateBall, Comedy, Personal, Satire, Science
Tagged Andrew Montford, Bishop-Hill, Cartoon, Cartoons by Josh, Humour, Trolls, Watts Up With That, William Connolley
95 Comments
A challenge?
A comment by William Connolley on Sou’s recent post lead me to Joanne Nova’ site. The post on Joanne’s site, that William had highlighted, was about how the media distorts the news and contained the classic line If the world … Continue reading
Watt about Bob and William
Although I’ve somewhat changed the focus of this blog, there is a post over at Watts Up With That (WUWT) that has made me decide to have another Watt about … post. It’s a post by Bob Tisdale and is … Continue reading
Posted in Anthony Watts, Bob Tisdale, Climate change, ENSO, Global warming
Tagged Bob Tisdale, El Niño, ENSO, Global warming, La Niña, Roger Pielke Sr, William Connolley, WUWT
90 Comments
Forcings and feedbacks
William Connolley had a recent post about making stuff up, that discussed the linear relationship between temperature change and change in forcing (ΔT = λΔF). I commented that I had thought that this linear relationship was simply an approximation based … Continue reading
...and Then There's Physics 